Friday, August 14 Race 6 Del Mar

2daysrace2daysrace Senior Member
edited August 2015 in Horse Racing Forum
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ANALYSIS:FC Aug 14 Del Mar Race 6 Pat The Bear ran Ok with $50,000 soph claimers on turf Aug 5. He beat bottom-level Allowance foes on dirt the race before, June 28, so he should be a big-time threat returning to dirt and dropping to this level. He’s the one to beat and the HF 15a. Where Y’at Joe Joe is a wildcard shipper from Louisiana. He’s won two of his last three against State-bred foes, the last a daylight win in a mid-level Allowance at Evangeline April 9. He was working steadily since then at Evangeline before getting a work in over the course Aug 8. His barn is having a strong meet, so he merits attention. One More Roll is a tad light on numbers, but was 3rd with this kind April 18 and beat $16,000 sophs July 22. He could be a factor right back. Bluegrass Sight beat $20,000 soph claimers May 30 before running 4th with older restricted $20,000 claimers at Santa Rosa Aug 1. He could do some rebounding with the return to the soph claiming ranks. Bandido Too and Ain’t Misbehavin show similar form as both have finished 4th with $50,000 soph claimers and 3rd in a Starter Allowance. The bettors figure to back Bandido Too on the drop, but Ain’t Misbehavin did just miss with $50,000 sophs in March and should offer much better value at the windows. He’s our HF 20. Tiz Jolie is a question mark sprinting, but he’s been in the money in three of his last four routes at and around this level. We’ll probably key Pat The Bear, but you could easily go very deep in this field trying to catch a price. CLOSERS: Fastest in the stretch in recent races at or near this distance have been: Ain’t Misbehavin :24.7 – Where Y’at Joe Joe :25.0 – Silvertron :25.2

Where Y’at Joe Joe is in front at the first call of 21.9 and he co-tops the charting in faster than par time for the level in 1:10.1. Also note he has the second fastest final fraction of 25.0 which suggests he is fast early and fast late. He looks like a top contender. Pat The Bear doesn’t look bad either, though, as he is in front in the second call 44.7 and the third call 56.8. He also co-tops the charting. Per the charting, these two are 3.5 lengths ahead of the field at the finish and both seem to merit plenty of attention at the windows.

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