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Old 01-06-2009, 06:10 AM   #1
justin13892002
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Default Philadelphia Full Card 1/6/09 with Analysis
Race 1

2 Market Tumble

Although the odds are unappealing, Carmouche and Violette team up here, good combo. Horse has good class and should run a stalk-style trip. 8/5 M/L is not anything to brag about, but will be there at the wire. Also like 5 Bayside Jazz, 6 Gerritsen, and 4 Jersey Skip. Box these 4 in Exactas and Trifectas.








Race 2

3 Livelovelaugh

Another chalker here, Rivera jumps on. Comes for the Aristone barn, who hasnt done bad this year. Horse is always close at the line, decent at this distance. Like the pace here, hoping to breakaway early and if that happens, look for a wire to wire race.









Race 3

7 Artytheonemanparty

2nd Last out here on this track, Carmouche and Violette tam up once again. Great at this distance. The main problem here is the speed. Horse has a ton early, but nothing late. Will need to find something late here, as there are some closers!







Race 4

5 Joansterrificrose

Outclasses field, great early speed and yet still has something late. Although, never raced at this distance, Hot Jockey Fergal Lynch sees something here. A good wheel horse!








Race 5

4 Sincere Man

Good everything here. I hate these small claiming races, they are tough, as is this one. Like the J/T combo here, 1 Magazine will be tough to beat, 2 Fort Seattle could be there. Tough race, but I like this one out front.








Race 6

1 Eleftheria *** UPSET SPECIAL

Horse is decent all around. Toss up race, why not go with the 10-1 M/L who is the best stretch runner of the field. King is riding, I would have liked to see others, but why not? I like the way the horse fits this race. Good Value!






Race 7

7 Majestic Slewville

Lake trained, picks up Arce here, good choice. Horse has good pace, with a touch of late speed. Lake knows where to put his horses to give them a shot. His horses placed 2nd, 4th, and 5th yesterday. They are always close. 5/2 M/L but dont believe horse will go off favorite. Hope for some value.






Race 8

1 Law Breaker, or if scratched, 3 Kudu


Like the 1 Law Breaker here, but is a coupled entry. If this horse is the one scratched play Kudu. Law Breaker should win if not scratched. Horse has too much on the field, if scratched play Kudu, who should go off at around 4-1 or so. I like that Carmouche is on Kudu in this type of race.






Race 9

11 Heartbreaker Trail *** Upset Special

Kicking out the favorite for the top spot here, I like this 11 Heartbraker trail because of the jockey choice, at his favorite distance. Horse is decent at this distance. I beleive I chose Gossip Gil last time she raced. 10-1 M/L is decent value. Last race of the card is always an exciting one.
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Old 01-06-2009, 09:30 AM   #2
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1 for 1 so far as Market Tumble takes the first race, unfortunately as the 2/5 favorite, but also hit the exacta with Gerritsen.


WIN- $2.80 out front
Exacta- $13.80
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Old 01-06-2009, 09:55 AM   #3
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Race 2

Livelovelaugh just didnt have enough late

So Far

2 Starts
1 Win
1 Place
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Old 01-06-2009, 10:26 AM   #4
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Artytheonemanparty wins the 3rd, Paying $3.60 out front

3 Starts
2 Wins
1 Place
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Old 01-06-2009, 10:53 AM   #5
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30-1 Takes Race 4, my #5 Joansterrificrose places 2nd, Paying $4.80 To Place


So Far

4 Selections
2 Win
2 Places
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Old 01-06-2009, 11:17 AM   #6
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OUCH

Fort Seattle and Magazine were there, Sincere Man didnt come in. 11-1 Fort Seattle was!!!! Thats a tough one to swallow!!!! Oh well


So far

5 selections
2 Wins
2 Places
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Old 01-06-2009, 11:47 AM   #7
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Race 6

My Upset Special's 10-1 M/L odds drop to 7/2 unfortunately!!!!!!

WINS Paying $9.20 Out Front


6 Selections
3 Wins
2 Places
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Old 01-06-2009, 01:25 PM   #8
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Daily Results

Race 1- WIN $2.80 Out Front
Race 2- PLACE
Race 3- WIN $2.60 Out Front
Race 4- PLACE
Race 5- OUT
Race 6- WIN $9.20 Out Front
Race 7- OUT
Race 8- Lawbreaker scratched, Kudu Showed
Race 9- OUT
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Old 01-06-2009, 01:27 PM   #9
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08-09 Handicapping Stats after today

08-09 Handicapping Stats
38 Selections
15 Wins
11 Places
3 Show
Win %= 39%
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