Today's feature San Vincente At Santa Anita, carded as race 8, is , or has the possibility of being one of the best races of the weekend. All eyes are focused on The Factor, who set a new track record on opening weekend at SA. However, he has only started twice at the msw level and his first was very ordinary, and the second was, by all accounts, a freak performance. Hence, at 7/5 I will look elsewhere as there is a good chance that the Factor will bounce big time and, without doubt, will be tested on the front end by several of the fastest horses on the West Coast.

#5 INDIAN WINTER, 9/2, has proven ability to close well and get good late pace figures in a field full of early speed.. His last race late pace figures set him up well to close into a group of burnt out speedsters.

#3 SWAY AWAY, 4-1, closed well last summer at DelMar in a grade 2 behind J P's Gusto. String of bullet works coming into this race and the presence of Garrett Gomez only makes this horse more attractive.

#8 PREMIER PEGASUS, 8-1, is one of the few proven at 7 furlongs. Conditioner Cho enters this son of Fu Peg and a Summer Squall mare off 3 straight wins on the synthetic, and his bloodline screams out that he will take to the dirt surface. Will probably sit off the speed battle up front and should benefit from the fierce battle up front, and certainly has the breeding and recent conditioning to be the Factor( no pun intended) at a big price.

Exacta Box 3-5-8

GOOD LUCK!

Good writeups Thanks. I might take a shot with #8 Premier Pegasus

Taking a shot on the #6 City Cool with $50 win $100 place

Actually a pretty tough race, but i'm not sure i'd be looking to fade The Factor in any kind of sprint rcae right now. Especially since you know that Baffert wants to pick up some graded earnings for the colt, and knows that this is going to be one of his best opportunities. He's sure to be cranked up here.

Along those lines, note the 7-furlong workout. Baffert's big training angle is the 7-furlong drill, has been for as long as i can remember. You rarely see a Baffert horse wiith a 7-furlong drill run poorly. It's not something he does real often, either.

Actually a pretty tough race, but i'm not sure i'd be looking to fade The Factor in any kind of sprint race right now. Especially since you know that Baffert wants to pick up some graded earnings for the colt, and knows that this is going to be one of his best opportunities. He's sure to be cranked up here.

Along those lines, note the 7-furlong workout. Baffert's big training angle is the 7-furlong drill, has been for as long as i can remember. You rarely see a Baffert horse wiith a 7-furlong drill run poorly. It's not something he does real often, either.

Ok CAT, you're right, I won't fade The Factor, but only because the #5 Indian Winter is a late scratch, don't know why it was just now listed. But I still think The Factor will have some competition today. Ex Bx 3-7-8

GOOD LUCK!

Could be that the scratch of the #5 and the #9 were made earlier today, buy they just showed up a few minutes ago on Twin Spires. could be that Twin spires was tardy in making the change, but they are usually very good abut getting that info up. 10 min to post, GOOD LUCK!

Nice race by both the 7 and 3. #6 that I played looked like he plain lost interest coming midway round the bend. I cant believe he tired in just a 7F race

Is it too late to get a futures bet down on Sway Away?
In the just concluded race, it appears that we were watching some very good sprinters, and one horse who should continue on the Derby Trail.

I was thinking about a future on Sway Away myse lf. He showed a huge stride down the lane and looks like he might stretch out pretty well. He was able to pick up some earnings today, too. Would need a pretty big price though.

Just checked, and Sway Away was only 65/1 on the Wynn sheet. Before the race.

65-1 isnt that bad of a price. If the horse runs the way he did yesterday in the Santa Derby he isnt going to lose. I mean Dialed In closed at 8-1 in the futures yes he was impressive but has only run 2 races? I still think the bargain was all other 3 yo's at 2-1.

i love it when everyone jumps on the back of a horse who runs late and never gets there.....he will be over bet in his next race and he will run 3rd or so...happens all the time especially in ca.....chocolate candy..mr hot stuff is just naming 2....let him win next out before we crownd him.....Baffert intends to take it slow with The Factor | Daily Racing Form

IMO Jaycito is Bafferts best derby horse hes working up a storm in the morning ,follow closely,especially the SA DEBRY.

I'm not really getting all the love for Jaycito, He was beaten a mile in the BC Juvenile, and hasn't run since. And he gets listed in the KDFW @ 20/1?

I did talk to a friemd of mine a couple of months ago who said that he liked Jaycito, mentioning that he had a nightmare trip in the Juvenile. I think the fact that Baffert hasn't run him yet might be indicative of some type of problem, though i guess he does have some graded earnings already.

Originally Posted by rayphil

i love it when everyone jumps on the back of a horse who runs late and never gets there.....he will be over bet in his next race and he will run 3rd or so...happens all the time especially in ca.....chocolate candy..mr hot stuff is just naming 2....let him win next out before we crownd him.....Baffert intends to take it slow with The Factor | Daily Racing Form

Good call Ray.

Not much talent here to talk about. No speed in the race and The Factor didn't really run that fast. Uncle Mo is much better than anything here.

The field in the Rebel compared to Uncle Mo fields would be I guess 75000 alowance vs 7500 claimers. I doubt Pletcher enjoyed seeing what he saw today.

draynay....you said no speed in that race but didnt say nothing about your superstar going 25 for the first 1/4 going a mile....the factor will be a factor...even if it is just a pace thing.....and illl take baffert over pletcher anyday...

thanks mike...happens too often..people always love horses who close fast and never get there...what sway away go off at 8-5....how do we know that sway away isnt a late closing sprinter...

Uncle Mo ran 2 turns faster as a 2 year old. The Factor looks good when he is the lone speed but when will that happen again ?

Draynay, why must you shoot this horse's outstanding performance. Man, give him his due. Uncle Mo has the same running style. The Factor's final time inthe Reble would have made him the Breeders Cup Juvi Champ, running a 1 1/16 in 1:42 flat with Uncle Mo winning in 1:42 3/5. Inthe Derby I hope Johnny V. dosen't do that stupid move or plan that he pull against Rachel Alexander's race and knocking both horses out of contention, cause that exactly what he'll do setting it up for Dailed in and the rest of the closing field.
Moderate pace and they both come across the wire one-two with the best horse sustaining his bid.

Until The Factor wins a G1 race I will consider him a complete pretender. In the Arkansas he will have company and when he does he will fold like a cheap suit.

Originally Posted by Draynay

Until The Factor wins a G1 race I will consider him a complete pretender. In the Arkansas he will have company and when he does he will fold like a cheap suit.

Bull Shit.

Pletcher will make sure he sees some speed in the Arkansas.