Calder State Bred Stakes Card Selections and Analysis (11/14)

FlyinLate · 11-14-2009, 09:10 AM

Going to take a try at Calder this afternoon.
I've only gone over the first 4 races so far, here are my selections:

Race 1
#1 Nistlerooy of Joy
I tried every which way to find a play against for this horse but couldn't.
Win wager if @ 7/5 or higher.
Double 1 w 4, 7, 8, 9

Race 2
#8 Classie Hennesey
Second off layoff. Back to turf. To me there seems to be little pace in this 5f turf event and we all know how dangerous that can be. #7 is likely to set the pace with Classie Hennesey sitting just off it and make a run turning for home. Descent shot @ a big price.

Race 3
#5 Joan's Royal Dawn
Another strong favorite I can't play against.
Likely a strong favorite so win bet only if 6/5 or higher.
Trifecta 5 w/ 1,4 w/ 1,3,4

Race 4
#8 Suzanne
2yo fillies on the grass. One of the few who has already run a route on the turf. Ran quite well on it during an entry lvl allowance @ Keeneland.
Betting to win. If she stays at or above her morning line back her up to place.

I'll be back later with the rest of the card.

FlyinLate · 11-14-2009, 09:35 AM

Race 1
#1 Nistlerooy of Joy
I tried every which way to find a play against for this horse but couldn't.
Win wager if @ 7/5 or higher.
Double 1 w 4, 7, 8, 9
[/quote]

Second. Luckily he was too short of a price for me to risk a win wager.
Double is out.

FlyinLate · 11-14-2009, 11:17 AM

Race 6
#1 Winey Taylor
Filly's only loss comes on the turf. Opens up on field on dirt.
After setting quick early fractions this one still manages to come home in awful quick fractions.
The way she draws off leads me to believe she'll be fine going 7f.
This is the only selection today I've felt this confident for.

Betting Heavy Win/Place
Exacta Keybox w/ 2,4,7,8

FlyinLate · 11-14-2009, 11:36 AM

I'm done with this track

I'll try some Hollywood later.

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode

11-14-2009, 09:10 AM	#1
FlyinLate Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Chicago Posts: 1,807 Thanks: 34 Thanked 127 Times in 44 Posts Rep Power: 8	Calder State Bred Stakes Card Selections and Analysis (11/14) Going to take a try at Calder this afternoon. I've only gone over the first 4 races so far, here are my selections: Race 1 #1 Nistlerooy of Joy I tried every which way to find a play against for this horse but couldn't. Win wager if @ 7/5 or higher. Double 1 w 4, 7, 8, 9 Race 2 #8 Classie Hennesey Second off layoff. Back to turf. To me there seems to be little pace in this 5f turf event and we all know how dangerous that can be. #7 is likely to set the pace with Classie Hennesey sitting just off it and make a run turning for home. Descent shot @ a big price. Race 3 #5 Joan's Royal Dawn Another strong favorite I can't play against. Likely a strong favorite so win bet only if 6/5 or higher. Trifecta 5 w/ 1,4 w/ 1,3,4 Race 4 #8 Suzanne 2yo fillies on the grass. One of the few who has already run a route on the turf. Ran quite well on it during an entry lvl allowance @ Keeneland. Betting to win. If she stays at or above her morning line back her up to place. I'll be back later with the rest of the card.

11-14-2009, 09:35 AM	#2
FlyinLate Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Chicago Posts: 1,807 Thanks: 34 Thanked 127 Times in 44 Posts Rep Power: 8	Race 1 #1 Nistlerooy of Joy I tried every which way to find a play against for this horse but couldn't. Win wager if @ 7/5 or higher. Double 1 w 4, 7, 8, 9 [/quote] Second. Luckily he was too short of a price for me to risk a win wager. Double is out.

11-14-2009, 11:17 AM	#3
FlyinLate Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Chicago Posts: 1,807 Thanks: 34 Thanked 127 Times in 44 Posts Rep Power: 8	Race 6 #1 Winey Taylor Filly's only loss comes on the turf. Opens up on field on dirt. After setting quick early fractions this one still manages to come home in awful quick fractions. The way she draws off leads me to believe she'll be fine going 7f. This is the only selection today I've felt this confident for. Betting Heavy Win/Place Exacta Keybox w/ 2,4,7,8

11-14-2009, 11:36 AM	#4
FlyinLate Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Chicago Posts: 1,807 Thanks: 34 Thanked 127 Times in 44 Posts Rep Power: 8	I'm done with this track I'll try some Hollywood later.