Well - took an unexpected couple of weeks off there after an unplanned surgery ...
gave me time to watch a bit of racing though

I do like the "won't pay much - will win by lots" threads .. in that vein ... here are my picks for today ... I might play on the first one and roll over the winnings ... lets see if I can turn $2 into $30

Pinnacle - Race 3 - #6 - Frosty Debut
Thistle - Race 6 - #2 - Cookies Gold
Fairplex - Race 4 - #1 - Brilliant Response
Arlington - Race 8 - #8 - My New Lady
Zia - Race 9 - #1 - Spark Of Dubai



It'll give me something to watch.

Welcome back, Laffy. Hope everything is alright...

Originally Posted by DiscreetCat

Welcome back, Laffy. Hope everything is alright...

It is now .... or at least its better than it was
Thanks for asking.

Looks like I still can't pick an odds-on winner to save my life though ...

First one lost - I doubled up and had $4 to win on the second ... now got $6 going on to race three ...
lets see if we can get winners in races 3, 4 and 5 ...

Originally Posted by laffingeys

Fairplex - Race 4 - #1 - Brilliant Response

Ouch 1/9 and beaten - have been using the "conditional wager" button this past few days to get rid of the silly prices on some of these horses .... has saved me a few times so far ...

... anyone else use a "conditional wager" type setup?

I've noticed that the odds on most favorites do drift out slightly right at the 0 MTP check - then come in again by a couple of points by the time they actually start the race ...

Have had to set odds of around 3/2 to try and get nothing less than evens ... its a step in the right direction by some of the advanced wager setups - but I still find myself putting the majority of my money on horses running in the UK .. because i can set my risk and odds at the time i place my wager.

I am beginning to understand why finding the horse to beat the favorite is the best strategy here in the US. Assuming the favorites are over-bet (they are in a large number of races it seems) the value really does seem to lie in the second or third in the betting running against the over-bet long odds-on favorite that in reality only has a 50-50 chance of winning the race.

Have managed to spend time watching the odds/results more closely this past couple of weeks and think i'm starting to see the light

yes, welcome back....and a couple of weeks away can only help!!!
it's all about getting ready for the breeders cup!!!!!